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Election Prediction Thread

Election Prediction Thread

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@Soothfast said
Certainly my prediction comes a bit late, and factors in a curious development in South Carolina where things are looking very good for the Democrat. I just want the Dems to get at least 52 seats in the Senate, because I don't think Fetterman can be relied upon.

Yes, this is going about as well (so far) as I had hoped.
I agree about Fetterman. Seems like an echo of Manchin.

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So far 3 out of 4 new US House districts that Florida Republicans gerrymandered for themselves—or so they thought—have been won by Democrats. I find that hilarious.

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@no1marauder said
Don't we always have one?

I'll start and be on the "conservative" side of a Blue wave.

235 House seats for the Dems; 51-49 for them in the Senate.
Local news is now saying Dems will get to 248.

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@wildgrass said
Local news is now saying Dems will get to 248.
That would be fantastic if it happens. My hope has long been for 240.

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@Soothfast said
That would be fantastic if it happens. My hope has long been for 240.
Fascism is unpopular.

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@Suzianne said
I agree about Fetterman. Seems like an echo of Manchin.
Democratic Senate wins in South Carolina and Kansas.

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@no1marauder said
Democratic Senate wins in South Carolina and Kansas.
Phenomenal.

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@no1marauder said
Democratic Senate wins in South Carolina and Kansas.
Talarico wins in Texas.

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@Soothfast said
Talarico wins in Texas.
Musk spent over half a billion dollars trying to buy the midterms, the bulk of the money aimed at Talarico. All for nothing! It's a beautiful thing.

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So let's see, in the Senate Democrats have so far picked up North Carolina, South Carolina, Texas, Kansas, and Ohio. AP isn't calling Kansas yet, but it looks all but certain to be a Democratic win.

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@wildgrass said
Fascism is unpopular.
Especially clown circus fascism, which doesn't even make the trains run on time.

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Holy crap, the Democratic Senate candidate in Iowa has won. So that's six pickups at this point, which locks in a 53-47 majority so far. I just hope El-Sayed holds on in Michigan. The polls have been in his favor, and so far the polls have been holding up tonight, or even underestimating Democratic strength.

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New prediction for the Senate: 54-46 for the Dems.

It's remarkable how close Democrats came to flipping Mississippi and Florida. The candidate in Florida is a Democratic Socialist, in fact—and nearly pulled it off.

Also a moderate independent candidate is doing well in Nebraska, though he's likely to fall short.

This is a tremendous kick in MAGA's tiny little balls. Republicans will be singing soprano into Christmas and beyond.

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Well, it seems I’m no Nostredsmus…

Looks like the republikunts are having their arse handed to them.

It seems like the average American does know when enough fvcking stupidity is enough.

It’s good to see rationality prevail and racism, ignorance and hate fail.

I now predict 2 years of enourmous hilarity with trump getting even more deranged than he is now. It’s going to end up like the Fuhrer in the bunker, imagining insane plans and screaming like a toddler.

I can’t wait!

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@Suzianne said
51-49 seems a reasonable result. That would help keep Vance at home, too.

I can't even begin to guess the House totals, but 235-200 seems close.
Done passed 51 in senate, so far 53 so it is Fetterman the turncoat who cannot pull off an inside attack that would work but now we will see how much of turncoat Fetterman really is. Can you tell we live in Pa? Pocono so called mountains